Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 123.944301 142.780954 164.651177 192.198515 226.370529 267.909821 3.230799e+02
2025-03-23 101.806226 126.380291 158.094406 203.151629 267.495449 359.440698 5.076646e+02
2025-03-30 84.673413 109.781153 144.291329 197.159648 280.040556 412.852316 6.614824e+02
2025-04-06 74.917334 100.535534 137.581489 198.017888 300.770901 483.657615 8.803778e+02
2025-04-13 67.321363 92.850334 131.310182 197.413516 317.922624 553.711534 1.143510e+03
2025-04-20 63.150087 89.463069 130.745687 205.567425 352.358861 671.169180 1.615731e+03
2025-04-27 61.100037 88.937304 134.465436 221.720425 407.175390 861.314173 2.526627e+03
2025-05-04 56.279378 83.324207 128.737028 218.978024 421.329245 960.358507 3.288367e+03
2025-05-11 52.940854 79.744156 125.981059 221.389105 447.930405 1110.744541 4.602565e+03
2025-05-18 49.137547 74.967178 120.430752 216.966471 456.616750 1213.051430 5.962895e+03
2025-05-25 46.474015 71.887689 117.608209 217.800119 479.316656 1381.442122 8.481407e+03
2025-06-01 44.388927 69.616105 116.012704 221.022136 509.908101 1608.220325 1.302328e+04
2025-06-08 41.411816 65.672629 111.096582 216.670641 520.241479 1777.207637 1.901977e+04
2025-06-15 40.393068 65.235443 113.143605 229.577686 590.998943 2340.453735 4.701488e+04
2025-06-22 37.653691 61.326734 107.613578 222.513625 592.702918 2534.416700 7.665096e+04
2025-06-29 35.892157 59.116980 105.371531 223.524650 624.268790 2984.741276 1.919487e+05
2025-07-06 34.164049 56.821123 102.676462 222.812660 649.679778 3458.112329 6.230611e+05
2025-07-13 33.354893 56.243427 103.638686 232.429264 722.708675 4565.810538 3.580852e+07
2025-07-20 33.200906 56.944293 107.533160 251.547060 852.071812 6929.766346 NaN
2025-07-27 31.629767 54.635597 104.243752 248.295135 873.528339 8026.463372 NaN
2025-08-03 30.547409 53.250672 102.972260 251.154051 929.752197 10183.666800 NaN
2025-08-10 29.097027 50.996357 99.399879 245.911435 939.168007 11538.623014 NaN
2025-08-17 28.088446 49.604763 97.785279 246.899148 986.927720 14507.002881 NaN